Senior Elections Forecaster & Political Risk Analyst

Obsidian is seeking a senior elections forecaster to author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a fixed evidence cutoff. You will make directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds, and explain the causal mechanisms behind expected political and market impacts. You will also review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own high standards, contributing to high-quality political-risk forecasting and analysis for AI model evaluation.